Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.442608 9.879714 11.453347 13.299839 15.402362 17.716981 20.452930
2026-01-04 6.231861 8.223254 10.633740 13.743501 17.623712 22.278272 28.253941
2026-01-11 4.793161 6.972664 9.831149 13.802509 19.116235 25.912367 35.181418
2026-01-18 3.839352 6.072879 9.208333 13.841440 20.404351 29.241289 41.883978
2026-01-25 3.053085 5.216913 8.448849 13.496002 21.014554 31.601807 47.384010
2026-02-01 2.467036 4.530793 7.795039 13.155765 21.510476 33.751265 52.667596
2026-02-08 1.971740 3.885424 7.084655 12.596745 21.560266 35.186504 56.953925
2026-02-15 1.607304 3.387866 6.524677 12.176745 21.735247 36.763358 61.501172
2026-02-22 1.430708 3.195707 6.447298 12.531680 23.163260 40.349994 69.345644
2026-03-01 1.283859 3.031272 6.389911 12.901314 24.630090 44.083052 77.649674
2026-03-08 1.068204 2.683754 5.938588 12.499129 24.713461 45.539986 82.354673
2026-03-15 0.902742 2.408725 5.582995 12.221866 24.971958 47.279940 87.604710
2026-03-22 0.830134 2.341523 5.661575 12.841507 27.020492 52.404993 99.208150
2026-03-29 0.739991 2.216942 5.608739 13.209670 28.668096 57.017240 110.375094
2026-04-05 0.638708 2.040055 5.412211 13.254427 29.694829 60.596806 119.992410
2026-04-12 0.552505 1.880322 5.225426 13.289586 30.695694 64.191274 129.866181
2026-04-19 0.459536 1.675626 4.894137 12.955810 30.900066 66.291562 137.135809
2026-04-26 0.382483 1.494796 4.586527 12.627473 31.069703 68.318769 144.379727
2026-05-03 0.309720 1.303837 4.214339 12.088222 30.717422 69.277363 149.636012
2026-05-10 0.254486 1.152353 3.916745 11.683154 30.608272 70.695503 155.847187
2026-05-17 0.231612 1.108972 3.915163 12.025463 32.227169 75.755080 169.523306
2026-05-24 0.211533 1.069909 3.919126 12.381993 33.910273 81.057898 183.988403
2026-05-31 0.174862 0.951570 3.659126 11.994068 33.784388 82.519533 190.756751